Citizens for Tax Justice
1311 L Street, NW
Washington, DC
Monday, July 12, 1999
Contact: Bob McIntyre,
202/626-3780
House GOP Targets Tax Cuts:

Rich, Richer, Richest

Click here  to see this analysis in PDF format.



Three key elements of the House Republican tax plan being discussed by Ways and Means Chairman Bill Archer (R-Tex.) would give three-quarters of their benefits to the best-off ten percent of all taxpayers. The items include a sharp reduction in income taxes on capital gains, elimination oftab3.gif - 18431 Bytes the federal estate tax on the largest estates and a 10 percent cut in personal income tax rates. Archer has promised that the first two items will be in his bill; the third reportedly remains under consideration.

According to an analysis of the three proposals released by Citizens for Tax Justice, the best-off tenth of all taxpayers, with average income of $204,000, would enjoy:

In contrast, the bottom three-fifths of all taxpayers would get only 6.5 percent of the overall tax cuts.

Almost half the total tax benefits from the three tax cuts would go to the richest one percent of all taxpayers, those with incomes exceeding $301,000.

To mask the huge cost of the tax reductions, Chairman Archer apparently intends to phase them in slowly, except for the capital gains tax cut which would be effective retroactively to July 1 of this year. When fully phased in, the cost of these three provisions would exceed $250 billion a year (at 2009 levels, including the added interest payments that the tax cuts would require).

"House Republicans apparently have no doubts about who they think should get tax cuts," said CTJ director Robert S. McIntyre. "And if it means bankrupting the government to make the rich even richer, well, they don't seem to mind."

The tax cut plans being marked up this week in the House and Senate are widely considered to be political statements by congressional Republicans, rather than attempts at serious legislation. President Clinton has vowed to veto anything like what the tax-writing committees are considering.

Rich, Richer, Richest: Effects of Three Key Proposed 1999 House GOP Tax Cuts
  10% Income Tax Rate Cut Capital Gains Tax Cut Estate Tax Elimination All Three Tax Proposals
Income Group Income Range Avg. Income Tax Cut $-bill. Avg. Tax Cut % of Total Tax Cut Tax Cut $-bill. Avg. Tax Cut % of Total Tax Cut Tax Cut $-bill. Avg. Tax Cut % of Total Tax Cut Tax Cut $-bill. Avg. Tax Cut % of Total Tax Cut
Lowest 20% Less than $13,300 $ 8,400 $ –0.3 $ –11 0.4% $ –0.0 $ –0 0.0% $ –0.0 $ –0 0.0% $ –0.3 $ –11 0.2%
Second 20% $13,300– 23,800 18,300 –2.0 –79 2.6% –0.0 –1 0.2% –0.0 –0 0.0% –2.0 –80 1.7%
Middle 20% 23,800– 38,200 30,300 –5.2 –207 6.9% –0.1 –4 0.7% –0.0 –0 0.0% –5.3 –211 4.5%
Fourth 20% 38,200– 62,800 49,100 –12.0 –474 15.9% –0.4 –17 2.8% –0.0 –0 0.0% –12.5 –491 10.5%
Next 15% 62,800– 124,000 83,600 –20.1 –1,055 26.5% –1.7 –89 11.0% –0.0 –0 0.0% –21.7 –1,144 18.3%
Next 4% 124,000– 301,000 173,000 –14.1 –2,775 18.6% –2.6 –507 16.7% –2.5 –489 9.0% –19.1 –3,770 16.1%
Top 1% 301,000 or more 837,000 –22.1 –17,461 29.2% –10.5 –8,319 68.5% –25.2 –19,914 91.0% –57.8 –45,693 48.7%
ALL   $ 48,700 $ –75.7 $ –593 100.0% $ –15.4 $ –120 100.0% $ –27.7 $ –217 100.0% $ –118.7 $ –930 100.0%
ADDENDUM
Bottom 60% Less than $38,200 $ 19,000 $ –7.5 $ –99 9.9% $ –0.1 $ –2 1.0% $ –0.0 $ –0 0.0% $ –7.7 $ –101 6.5%
Top 10% $89,000 or more 204,000 –45.1 –3,563 59.6% –13.9 –1,099 90.7% –27.7 –2,183 100.0% –86.7 –6,846 73.0%
Notes: Figures show the annual effects of (1) the 10% cut in personal income tax rates; (2) the proposed reduction in the top income tax rates on realized capital gains, from 20% to 15% (for those in all but the bottom regular tax bracket) and from 10% to 7.5% (for those in the bottom regular tax bracket); and (3) elimination of the estate tax. All figures are at 1999 levels, showing full year effects after phase-ins are completed.
Source: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy Tax Model.

Citizens for Tax Justice is a non-partisan tax policy research group based in Washington, DC.


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