Citizens for Tax Justice

For release on September 17, 1998


CTJ Analyzes House Tax Plan

Citizens for Tax Justice today released a distributional analysis of the tax cut plan approved today by the House Ways and Means Committee on a party line vote of 22-15 (only one Committee Democrat voted for the bill).

CTJ's analysis shows that:

House Speaker Newt Gingrich and other Congressional leaders have promised that if elections are favorable to them, they will pass a tax cut next year much more skewed toward upper-income taxpayers.

A table detailing CTJ's findings follows.

Effects of the 1998 Ways and Means Tax Bill in 1999
Income Group % of all Returns Average Income PIT changes
$-billions
Estate tax & business Total
($bill.)
Average All Returns % of Total
<$10,000 12.2% $ 6,600 $ –0.0 $ –0.0 $ –0.0 $ –2 0.2%
$10-20,000 20.0% 14,900 –0.3 –0.1 –0.3 –13 2.1%
$20-30,000 16.7% 25,000 –0.8 –0.1 –0.8 –39 5.2%
$30-40,000 11.5% 34,500 –1.3 –0.1 –1.4 –96 8.8%
$40-50,000 9.2% 44,800 –1.5 –0.1 –1.6 –135 9.9%
$50-75,000 14.6% 61,300 –3.2 –0.1 –3.3 –178 20.7%
$75-100,000 7.1% 85,800 –1.9 –0.2 –2.0 –228 12.9%
$100-200,000 6.1% 132,000 –1.5 –0.5 –2.0 –263 12.7%
$200,000+ 2.0% 525,000 –0.6 –3.7 –4.3 –1,709 27.5%
ALL 100.0% $ 49,600 $ –11.0 $ –4.8 $ –15.8 $ –125 100.0%
ADDENDUM:
Top 15% 15.1% $ 163,000 $ –4.0 $ –4.4 $ –8.4 $ –439 53.1%
Bottom 60% 60.4% 19,700 –2.4 –0.2 –2.6 –34 16.4%
Personal income tax changes include the increase in the standard deduction for married couples; the acceleration of the scheduled increased in the self-employed health insurance deduction; the interest and dividend exclusion; and the changed treatment of tax credits under the AMT. The acceleration of the 1997 estate tax cut and the self-employed health insurance deduction increase are discounted to 1999 dollars. Business tax breaks are net of offsetting business tax increases.
Source: Institute on Taxation & Economic Policy Microsimulation Tax Model, Sept. 17, 1998

Citizens for Tax Justice, Sept. 17, 1998

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