Citizens for Tax Justice
1311 L Street, NW
Washington, DC
Friday, Feb. 11, 2000
Contact: Bob McIntyre,
202/626-3780
CTJ Releases Distributional Analysis of GOP/Dems Marriage Penalty Bills

Click here to see this analysis in PDF format.


Related CTJ Publications:
On Feb. 10, the House passed GOP-sponsored legislation to reduce the "marriage penalty," the extra income taxes that a married couple pays compared to a similar income couple living outside of marriage. It rejected a Democratic alternative.

Effective in 2001, the House-passed plan would slightly boost the earned-income tax credit for couples and raise the married standard deduction to double the single amount. In addition, and most notably, the plan would increase the starting point for the 28 percent tax bracket for couples to double the single level.

Although the 28 percent bracket change does not start phasing in until 2003, does not become fully effective until 2008 and only affects the one in three couples now in tax brackets higher than 15 percent, it represents the lion's share of the $182 billion ten-year cost of the overall plan, according to the Joint Committee on Taxation.

A distributional analysis of the GOP plan released today by Citizens for Tax Justice shows that when all of its provisions are fully in place, two-thirds of its annual tax cuts will go to couples making more than $75,000 a year (in 1999 dollars). The average tax reduction for couples making more than $75,000 would be $994 a year, compared to a $149 average tax cut for couples making less than $50,000.

House Democrats offered an $89 billion (over ten years) plan that offered similar standard deduction and earned income tax credit boosts for couples, but eschewed raising the starting point for the 28% bracket.

Some commentators have pointed out that marriage penalty relief need not require shifting taxes away from the better off or reduce overall revenues. As Robert S. McIntyre and Michael J. McIntyre explain in the Summer 1999 Valparaiso University Law Review (PDF format), distributional shifts and revenue losses can be avoided by cutting taxes slightly on married couples and raising taxes slightly on singles. Specifically, the article outlines a revenue-neutral plan that entails very minimal tax shifts--the typical married couple gets a tax cut of $117 a year while the typical single person pays $67 more--yet eliminates most marriage penalties for couples across the income spectrum.

"The GOP's marriage penalty relief plan has some admirable features, notably that it doesn't treat couples differently based on the share of a family's income each spouse happens to earn," said Citizens for Tax Justice director Robert S. McIntyre. "But like most previous recent efforts in the House, the GOP plan continues to conflate marriage penalty relief with tax cuts for the well off. The Democratic plan avoid costly upper-income tax cuts, but does less to solve the marriage penalty."

Effects of the 2000 House GOP Marriage Penalty Relief Bill
  Tax Cuts, $-billions Average Tax Cuts % of Total Tax Cuts
Income Group ($-000) # of joint returns (000) % of joint returns Standard Deduction & EITC 28% Bracket Start All Standard Deduction & EITC 28% Bracket Start All Standard Deduction & EITC 28% Bracket Start All
<$10K 1,357 2.5% $ –0.0 $ — $ –0.0 $ –11 $ — $ –11 0.2% 0.1%
$10-20K 4,566 8.4% –0.5 –0.5 –110 –110 8.0% 2.0%
$20-30K 6,304 11.5% –1.2 –1.2 –193 –193 19.5% 5.0%
$30-40K 6,227 11.4% –1.0 –1.0 –163 –163 16.3% 4.1%
$40-50K 6,286 11.5% –0.9 –0.9 –147 –147 14.8% 3.8%
$50-75K 13,274 24.3% –1.6 –2.9 –4.6 –123 –219 –343 26.2% 15.9% 18.5%
$75-100K 7,184 13.1% –0.6 –6.6 –7.2 –85 –918 –1,003 9.8% 36.0% 29.4%
$100-200K 6,893 12.6% –0.3 –6.7 –7.0 –38 –978 –1,016 4.1% 36.8% 28.5%
$200K+ 2,349 4.3% –0.1 –2.1 –2.1 –24 –875 –899 0.9% 11.2% 8.6%
ALL 54,632 100.0% $ –6.2 $ –18.3 $ –24.6 $ –114 $ –335 $ –449 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
<$50K 24,740 45.3% –3.7 –3.7 –149 –149 58.9% 15.0%
$75K + 16,426 30.1% –0.9 –15.4 –16.3 –56 –937 –994 14.8% 84.1% 66.5%
Figures show the effects of the bill fully phased in at 1999 income levels. The changes in the standard deduction and earned-income tax credit for couples would take effect in calendar 2001. The changes in the starting point for the 28% tax bracket for couples would be phased in starting in calendar 2003 and finishing in calendar 2008. Totals exclude $0.6 billion in tax cuts for married persons filing separate returns.
Source: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy Tax Model, Feb. 1, 2000.

Effects of the 2000 House Democratic Marriage Penalty Relief Bill
Income Group
($-000)
# of joint returns (000) % of joint returns Tax Cuts,
$-billions
Average Tax Cuts % of Total Tax Cuts
<$10K 1,357 2.5% $ –0.0 $ –13 0.3%
$10-20K 4,566 8.4% –0.6 –125 8.8%
$20-30K 6,304 11.5% –1.4 –216 20.9%
$30-40K 6,227 11.4% –1.1 –171 16.3%
$40-50K 6,286 11.5% –0.9 –148 14.3%
$50-75K 13,274 24.3% –1.6 –124 25.2%
$75-100K 7,184 13.1% –0.6 –85 9.4%
$100-200K 6,893 12.6% –0.3 –38 4.0%
$200K+ 2,349 4.3% –0.1 –24 0.9%
ALL 54,632 100.0% $ –6.5 $ –119 100.0%
<$50K 24,740 45.3% –3.9 –160 60.6%
$75K + 16,426 30.1% –0.9 –56 14.2%
Figures show the effects of the bill fully phased in at 1999 income levels. The changes in the standard deduction and earned-income tax credit for couples would take effect in calendar 2001 and 2002. Totals exclude $0.2 billion in tax cuts for married persons filing separate returns.
Source: Institute on Taxation & Economic Policy Tax Model, 2/9/00.


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