| Citizens for Tax Justice , 202-626-3780 | April 16, 2001 |
Senate Democratic Alternative Tax Plan Analyzed
Click here to see this analysis in PDF format.
On March 27, Democratic leaders in the Senate introduced a tax cut plan designed as
an alternative to the $2.4 trillion tax cut plan proposed by President Bush. The bill, S.
629, would provide a retroactive cut in the bottom income tax rate beginning in tax
year 2001, lowering the current 15 percent tax rate to 12.5 percent in 2001 and 10
percent in 2002. The bill would also provide a rebate of 2000 income and payroll taxes
up to $600 for couples, $450 for single parents, and $300 for single taxpayers without
children. CTJ's analysis of the tax cuts in S.629 finds that the bottom 60 percent of the
income distribution would receive 41.2 percent of the tax cuts from this proposal in
tax year 2001. The wealthiest 10 percent of taxpayers, by contrast, would receive 15.2
percent of the tax cuts under the Democratic alternative plan.
- For the typical taxpayer--the twenty percent of taxpayers in the middle of the
income distribution--S. 629 would provide a tax cut of $561 a year in 2001.
- For the poorest twenty percent of all taxpayers, the bill would provide an
average tax cut of $146.
- The wealthiest 1 percent of taxpayers, with average incomes of $1.1 million,
would see an average tax cut of $766 in 2001 under the Senate alternative plan.
In contrast, the same group of taxpayers would see an average tax cut of
$54,400 under the three components of the Bush tax plan passed by the House
of Representatives so far.
A full distributional analysis of the Senate Democratic plan follows.
Senate Democrats Income Tax Rate Cuts & Tax Rebate Effects in 2001 & 2002 |
| Income Group |
Income Range |
Average Income |
Tax cuts in 2001 ($-billions) |
10% rate in 2002 and thereafter ($-billions) |
Average tax cuts in 2001 |
Average rate cut in 2002 |
% of 2001 total |
% of 2002 rate cut |
| Rebate for 2000 taxes |
Rate cut for 2001 |
Combined Total |
Rebate for 2000 |
Rate cut for 2001 |
Combined 2001 cuts |
| Lowest 20% |
Less than $15,000 |
$ 9,300 |
$ 3.2 |
$ 0.6 |
$ 3.8 |
$ 1.2 |
$ 125 |
$ 22 |
$ 146 |
$ 46 |
5.6% |
3.0% |
| Second 20% |
$15,00027,000 |
20,600 |
7.0 |
2.4 |
9.4 |
5.1 |
269 |
92 |
361 |
193 |
13.9% |
12.3% |
| Middle 20% |
$27,00044,000 |
34,400 |
10.1 |
4.4 |
14.6 |
9.3 |
390 |
171 |
561 |
354 |
21.6% |
22.6% |
| Fourth 20% |
$44,00072,000 |
56,400 |
12.7 |
6.2 |
18.9 |
12.9 |
488 |
240 |
728 |
489 |
28.1% |
31.2% |
| Next 15% |
$72,000147,000 |
97,400 |
10.7 |
5.1 |
15.7 |
10.1 |
546 |
259 |
806 |
514 |
23.3% |
24.6% |
| Next 4% |
$147,000373,000 |
210,000 |
2.9 |
1.1 |
4.0 |
2.1 |
555 |
214 |
770 |
393 |
5.9% |
5.0% |
| Top 1% |
$373,000 or more |
1,117,000 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
551 |
215 |
766 |
433 |
1.5% |
1.4% |
| ALL |
|
$ 57,800 |
$ 47.4 |
$ 20.1 |
$ 67.5 |
$ 41.2 |
$ 362 |
$ 153 |
$ 515 |
$ 311 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| ADDENDUM |
| Bottom 60% |
Less than $44,000 |
$ 21,400 |
$ 20.4 |
$ 7.4 |
$ 27.8 |
$ 15.6 |
$ 261 |
$ 95 |
$ 356 |
$ 198 |
41.2% |
37.8% |
| Top 10% |
$104,000 or more |
256,000 |
7.2 |
3.1 |
10.3 |
5.9 |
555 |
235 |
790 |
448 |
15.2% |
14.3% |
Table shows the effects in 2001 and 2002 of: (1) a rebate of 2000 income and payroll taxes up to $600 for couples, $450 for single parents, and $300 for singles without children. (2) A new 12.5% income tax rate (rather than 15%) on the first $12,000 in taxable income for couples, $10,000 in taxable income for single parents, and $6,000 for singles without children in 2001. (3) A reduction in that new 12.5% rate to 10% in 2002 and thereafter (with the brackets indexed for inflation after 2002). The tax rebate for 2000 taxes applies to the sum of positive income taxes (before refundable tax credits) and the 15.3% worker and employer payroll tax (or the SECA tax on the self-employed) up to the stated dollar limits. Average incomes and ranges shown above are for 2001.
Source: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy Tax Model
Citizens for Tax Justice, March 27, 2001
|