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CTJ's Tax Justice Digest, March 30, 2007Welcome to CTJ's Tax Justice Digest, our regular survey of new and interesting trends in state and federal tax policy. Click here tobrowse through archived editions of the Digest. |
Government Shut-Down in Michigan?
Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm is anticipating a partial government shut-down in early May because of the state's huge structural budget deficit. Media accounts report that the state will face a "cash flow shortage" of about $400 million on May 1. The Governor has put forward a plan for solving the state's enormous budget deficit which includes broadening the sales tax base, increasing cigarette taxes, reinstituting the state's expired estate tax, and implementing a new Michigan Business Tax to replace the repealed Single Business Tax (SBT). Many state legislators have proposals of their own, including setting up a commission to review all aspects of state government, slashing public services, and temporarily increasing income taxes. Just this week the Senate voted down the Governor's proposal to broaden the sales tax base, but perhaps a threat of a government shut-down will cause legislators to come together and devise a solution to the state's budget woes.
House Approves Budget Resolution
Like the Senate Version, It's More Responsible Than the President's Budget
The U.S. House of Representatives approved a budget resolution Thursday that would require any extension of the Bush tax cuts, which expire at the end of 2010, to be offset with new revenues or spending cuts to avoid increasing the deficit. Like the Senate version, this budget resolution includes pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) rules and is supposed to balance the budget by 2012 (at which point it claims to produce a surplus of $153 billion). The plan is not perfect. Like the Senate version and the budget proposal offered by the President, this "balanced budget" projection includes the Social Security surpluses, which are really supposed to be counted separately from other revenues as explained in last week's Digest.
Nonetheless, the House should be commended for passing a budget that shrinks deficits and does not assume that tax cuts will be extended without being offset, as the President's budget does. Republicans are trying hard to portray the budget plan as a tax increase because it requires extension of the tax cuts to be paid for. The tax cuts enacted over the past six years (when Republicans controlled the House, Senate and White House) were written to expire at the end of 2010, so any extensions will in fact be new tax breaks. Prohibiting new tax breaks or new spending that is funded by increased borrowing is a common sense reform that helped balance the federal budget in the 1990s.
Hall of Shame
Despite a growing consensus that imposing income taxes on families living in poverty is a terrible idea, many states continue to do so. According to a new Center on Budget and Policy Priorities report, "The Impact of State Income Taxes on Low-Income Families in 2006," 19 states collect income taxes on two-parent families of four who live below the federal poverty level. The report discusses some of the options available to states to prevent those in poverty from having to spend their limited resources on income taxes, including state Earned Income Tax Credits (EITCs), no-tax floors, and personal exemptions and standard deductions.
The good news is that states are increasingly seeking to avoid imposing their income tax on those who can least afford to pay it. A promising example of this is in Alabama, where the efforts of Alabama Arise have helped to spearhead state income tax changes that have decreased the income tax on those living in poverty by increasing the income filing threshold used to determine whether income taxes are owed (from an unbelievably low $4,600 to a still egregious $12,600). Although the state still ranks at or near the bottom in terms of the state income tax imposed on its poor, additional reform proposals have been made this year that would further increase the income threshold to $15,600 or $15,800.
Another positive development has occurred in Virginia, where lawmakers recently enacted a law that will raise the state income tax filing threshold from $7,000 to $11,950 for individuals and from $12,000 to $23,900 for couples.
Alabama and Virginia represent two examples of positive developments in decreasing the disproportionate tax imposed on the working poor by nearly every state. An even better solution to this problem would include refundable tax credits, like those found in the federal (and increasingly within state) EITC's.
Arizona Business:
We Support Public Services, as Long As Someone Else Pays for It
Earlier this year, members of the Arizona business community formed a new organization - the Transportation and Infrastructure Moving AZ's Economy or TIME Coalition - to advocate for additional transportation funding and to push for a ballot initiative to generate the revenue necessary to support that funding. At first, that may sound like business leaders acting in a fiscally responsible way to ensure that the state invests in the public structures on which all Arizonans rely.
Two details might make
you think otherwise. First, the taxes that the Coalition would like to see raised through the initiative - the general sales tax and the gasoline tax - would fall disproportionately on low- and moderate-income people. Second,
as the Arizona Republic points out, some of the members of the TIME Coalition - such as the Arizona Chamber of Commerce - are at the same time actively lobbying for the acceleration of tax cuts for commercial and industrial property and the outright repeal of the currently-suspended equalization assistance property tax. So, while Arizona may need to make critical public investments to foster economic growth and to improve the quality of life in the state, don't expect businesses to pony up - in their view, that's just for working people.
This Minnesota report stands
out as a stellar example of states conducting tax incidence analyses.
Unfortunately, only Texas and Maine join Minnesota in offering regular tax incidence analyses. Without regularly conducted, clear, comprehensive analysis of the effects of their tax policy, state lawmakers are left to guess at what the problems are and what solutions are needed. For more on the value of tax incidence analysis, check out ITEP's brief on
this topic.
House Republicans in Florida's House of Representatives continue to back a plan to repeal the state's property tax entirely and replace just a portion of the lost revenues with an expanded sales tax, which would take a larger bite out of the incomes of poor families than anyone else. Democrats in the Senate have put forward an alternative that is less unfair than the Republican plan but still is not exactly progressive.
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