Does the "cap-and-trade" bill (H.R. 2454, the American Clean Energy and
Security Act of 2009) passed out of the House of Representatives in
June do enough to protect consumers, or is it too riddled with
give-aways to corporate America to be worth enacting? The question of
how much the legislation does to protect consumers is a complicated
one, but two things are certain. First, if this Congress fails to enact
climate change legislation (even imperfect legislation) the
consequences could be terrible. Second, when the Senate takes up
climate change in September, it will have an opportunity to
significantly improve the legislation, as explained by recent reports
from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.
What the Recent House-Passed Bill Would Do
Under H.R. 2454, companies would need to have allowances to emit
greenhouse gases, and the amount of allowances would be capped at a
level that would decline for several years. The total level of
emissions allowed in 2050 would be only 17 percent of the amount
emitted in 2005.
The
right to pollute would therefore become scarce, as its supply would
decrease, and when the supply of anything decreases, its price
generally goes up. Energy from oil, gas or coal and any products made
or transported in ways that involve oil, gas or coal would therefore
become more expensive. For consumers, the effects of a cap-and-trade
system would be similar to those of a carbon tax. The question is
whether the extra cash paid by consumers will go towards increased
corporate profits or be routed back to the consumers.
For
this reason, the President proposed in his first budget that
Congress create a cap-and-trade system in which ALL of the emissions
allowances are auctioned off to companies rather than given away
freely. The revenue raised could be largely used, the President
reasoned, for a refundable tax credit that would offset the impact of
the resulting higher energy costs for low- and middle-income families.
The
bill passed out of the House at the end of June only auctions off 15
percent of the allowances, and the revenue raised would help offset the
costs for the poorest fifth of families.
Free Allowances for Utilities -- in Return for Promise to Pass Savings on to Consumers
85
percent of the allowances would not be auctioned off, but neither would
they be doled out for free to corporations (not all of them anyway).
There would be strings attached for some. For example, local utility
companies would initially get almost half of the allowances, but in
return they would be required to pass savings onto consumers.
There are many reasons
why this is an inefficient way to protect consumers. If it doesn't
work, Congress could feel pressure in the future to clamp down on the
utilities until it does work. But even if utilities pass savings onto
their customers, they would be split between their residential
customers and their business customers. As one of the Center on Budget
reports explains,
the Congressional Budget Office finds that most of the savings for
businesses would go to the stockholders, who are very
disproportionately among the wealthy.
Better Protection for the Poor
The provisions to shield the poorest fifth of families
from the resulting increased energy costs are stronger. An agency
within the Energy Department would determine what the average increase
in energy costs would be for a family of a given size, after accounting
for the offset in costs that will (in theory) be provided by the
utilities.
Most
families with incomes at 150 percent of the official poverty line or
lower would receive a monthly energy refund based on this calculation.
Families participating in certain programs (like food stamps) would be
automatically enrolled. The monthly refund would usually be delivered
through the Electronic Benefit Transfer (EBT) cards that states already
use to deliver food stamps and other benefits, further streamlining the
administration of the refund.
Since poor working-age adults without children typically do not
participate in these other programs or even have a EBT card, they would
be helped by an increase in the (very meager) maximum Earned Income Tax
Credit (EITC) available for childless adults.
What the Senate Should Do
The increased costs that middle-income families would see if the House
bill becomes law are not gigantic ($235 a year according to the
Congressional Budget Office). But Congress needs to decide whether the
increased prices paid for energy should go largely towards corporate
profits (which seems to be the potential result of the House-passed
bill) or be redirected back to consumers.
The obvious way to make the latter happen would be to auction off more
than 15 percent of the allowances and use the revenue to offset the
increased energy costs more effectively for both low- and middle-income
families. The Center on Budget points out
that refundable tax credits, combined with more use of EBT cards, would
be an effective way to deliver the necessary energy refund to the vast
majority of low- and middle-income families.
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And this would make for better environmental policy anyway. Families
would clearly see the costs of energy rising and have an incentive to
curb their energy consumption, even though their total purchasing power
would be unchanged.